Monday, March 23, 2026
A few words out of Trump can move global markets by $100s of billions
We saw that this morning. The markets had baked in the moderate risk that Mafia Don might make good on his threat to destroy the Tehran electrical grid. Brent was bid up to 118 this morning... until Trump declared a five day waiver on his previous ultimatum.
Benchmark Brent crude dropped hard. In the derivative markets, fortunes were made or lost in moments.
Watching that unfold in real time got me thinking. Trump has become famous for making completely unexpected decisions. Time after time you hear, who coulda seen that coming? Time after time, these way-out-there Trump edicts result in serious jolts to the financial markets.
Here's the thing. The astute and/or lucky player can profit equally from an uptick or a collapse. Trump's words have caused huge swings in global markets on a regular basis. Anybody with any insights into what Trump's next words might be is well placed to trouser a few billions as a result of insider derivatives trading.
Thank God everybody in Donald's orbit has the moral fibre to resist such temptation.
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