Showing posts with label training the Afghan army. Show all posts
Showing posts with label training the Afghan army. Show all posts

Friday, August 17, 2012

How to solve the green-on-blue attacks in Afghanistan

Or "insider" attacks as the Pentagon would now like us to characterize them.

In the first place, it's always struck me as more than a little fatuous to assume that we've got anything to teach those folks about the art of war. They're the guys who put the run to the Soviet military machine back in the 80's and 90's. They're the ones who have battled the combined forces of the US and NATO to what might charitably be called a draw over the past decade.

But we need to "train" them?

That quibble aside, the think tank here at Falling Downs has the solution.

Distance education!

That's right! A quick internet search confirms that damned near anything you want to learn can be learned via distance education. There are few trades, crafts, careers and professions that do not make their inner secrets available on-line.

If you can learn to fix a car through distance education, surely you can learn how to sight in that AR-15.

And instead of a burst from that AR-15, an insider attack is going to take the form of a nasty e-mail.

"May you rot in hell many life-times, infidel pig-dog!"

Not pleasant, but it ain't gonna kill anybody.

Monday, May 21, 2012

The long goodbye; why can't we admit Afghanistan is a dead end?

Obama's remarks at the conclusion of the NATO blabfest in Chicago don't  offer much hope that anything has been learned in this decade plus debacle.

There's still that streak of wishful thinking that wants to believe at any cost that something has been accomplished.

Something... anything.

Well, we got bin Laden, didn't we?

That could and would have happened whether or not we'd spent a trillion dollars and thousands of lives turning the Afghans against us over these past ten years.

But at least the Taliban are on the ropes.

Not so much on the ropes as in the wings, waiting for their time to come again, as eventually it must.

While Obama and General John Allen and of course the hapless Karzai are still making reassuring noises, the rest of the coalition has said "we're outa there and we're not coming back".

They will however send money to assuage their troubled consciences.

Which is another way of avoiding the inevitable, of prolonging the goodbye, of denying that this is a dead end.

The 350,000 strong armed forces we're building up will cost over four billion dollars a year to maintain.

I have before me a graph showing Afghanistan's GDP for the past fifty years. At the time of the US invasion Afghanistan had a Gross Domestic Product of $2.6 billion. Since then it has spiraled steadily upward due to the infusion of both military and reconstruction spending.

Absent that foreign money infusion, it is reasonable to expect that the GDP will again settle in that range. Afghanistan will then be in the position of having a military that costs more than 100% of its GDP to maintain.

That can't be done, not by the Afghans.

Not by anybody. Every cent of that military spending will have to come from other countries. Every year. In perpetuity.

It won't, of course. Soon enough there'll be new priorities. Afghanistan will fall into the memory hole.

Goodbye Karzai... welcome back Mulla Omar.