Thursday, August 18, 2022

Putin is waiting for winter

Looks like the Russian invasion of Ukraine has hit another setback. Those plucky Ukrainians have fought Russia to a standstill. They could be standing still for months. Maybe even till spring! What do you imagine winter will contribute to EU/NATO solidarity? People tend to forget this war is only incidentally about Ukraine. Putin himself has spelled out on numerous occassions the war is about ending the unipolar status quo of US dominance. It's not in Putin's interest to end this war now. Europe needs to experience a heating season without affordable energy. Perhaps they will need to experience several cold winters before they come to their senses. Most countries in EU/NATO are already struggling with mass public discontent. France has had the Yellow Vests for several years now. Populist parties have been making inroads everywhere. One thing they have in common; they are anti-status quo, which by definition means against the US-dominated world order. Look at Germany. Just how long are they prepared to stand with Ukraine, and how many showers are they prepared to skip in the interests of a country that contributed to Germany's greatest shame with unbridled enthusiasm? It is shocking how readily Sholtz has given up German sovereignty. Then again, Germans have been under occupation by the US Army since 1945, so maybe they never had sovereignty to begin with. Regardless, stretching out this war over a winter or two will help focus the minds of those in Europe who wish to take more than one hot shower per week.

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