Sunday, November 15, 2020

Latest numbers reveal lethality of COVID-19 down exponentially from first wave

When we compare covid case counts between the first and second waves of the pandemic, the (first wave) seven day moving average peaked at 1754 during the first week of May. Today it's at 4554.

While daily case numbers are up over 250%, daily deaths have dropped from a first wave seven day moving average peak of 176, to 58 today, a drop of 67% in absolute numbers.

Put another way, the case fatality rate has plunged from .1 during the first wave, to .01 today. That would seem to undermine the scary headlines about alarm bells and runaway trains we're treated to every day by those whose mission it is to frighten the populace.

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For readers who want to double-check my math, (which is a good idea), I get the stats here and here.





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