Will Bibi get his war?

And will Obama back him up?

It's not that I don't care. Here at Falling Downs we've got friends and family who reside in the Holy Land. We and they are pretty much convinced that war is not a good idea.

There's a long list of upper management folks in IDF/Mossad and all the rest who strenuously object to a war with Iran.

Do they have enough clout to keep a leash on Netanyahu?

I can't imagine that things look much different on the US side.

You've got a handful of influential war-mongers, mostly from the right-wing think tank community, and your evangelical Christian crowd pushing the war-wagon forward.

Then you've got a broad swath of thinking folks who think that given the cost of achieving what has been achieved in Iraq and Afghanistan and even Libya ever since this Jiahad on Jiahad began, we'd be far better off getting used to the idea of an Iranian bomb than we would be if we chose to bomb this idea out of them.

Tom Keller articulated that point of view quite effectively in the New York Times recently.

But the real reason I give a shit is because I've been following the NYMEX oil future option contracts, and I can tell you that whoever times this war right is going to make a killing. When the Straits of Hormuz clamp shut, as they surely will, the right contracts are going to be turning pennies into hundred dollar bills.

After all the news I read, I think it's only fair that some of those pennies should be mine.